Colorado
Rasmussen. 7/21. MoE 4.5% (6/17 results)
McCain (R) 47 (41)
Obama (D) 50 (43)
The Pollster.com composite is 47.6 Obama, 44.9 McCain.
Michigan
EPIC/MRA. 7/13-15. MoE 4% (5/19-22 results)
McCain (R) 41 (44)
Obama (D) 43 (40)
The Pollster.com composite is 47.6 Obama, 39.1 McCain.
Florida
Rasmussen. 7/22. MoE 4.5% (6/26 results)
McCain (R) 47 (41)
Obama (D) 49 (48)
American Research Group. 7/19-21. MoE 4% (6/13-17 results)
McCain (R) 47 (44)
Obama (D) 45 (49)
Those Ras numbers are a little goofy. That's a big shift in a single month, and one seen in few other states. Then we have ARG giving us the exact opposite trendline, though we all know ARG sucks you-know-what.
Thank heavens we can fall back on the composite, which is less sensitive to wild swings and outliers. And on that front, it's really, really, really tight: 45.7 McCain, 44.9 Obama.
New Hampshire
American Research Group. 7/19-21. MoE 4% (6/13-17 results)
McCain (R) 45 (39)
Obama (D) 47 (51)
U of New Hampshire (PDF). 7/11-20. MoE 4.5% (4/25-30 results)
McCain (R) 43 (49)
Obama (D) 46 (43)
Two crappy pollsters, but let's plug their numbers into the composite anyway. Currently, it's 47.4 Obama, 40.4 McCain in New Hampshire.
Ohio
Rasmussen. 7/21. MoE 4.5% (6/17 results)
McCain (R) 52 (44)
Obama (D) 42 (43)
Did Ras juice their (D) sample this month? Or did Obama hit upon the holy grail of Florida and Ohio swing-state politics? I don't know if I buy these particular numbers, but there's no need to. The composite actually feels quite right: 45.9 Obama, 42.4 McCain. Give Obama the twitchy, very nervous lead. Essentially, this one's tied (like Florida, like every fucking election cycle, it seems).
Update: I reversed the Ohio numbers. It's McCain that's up.
Virginia
Public Policy Polling. 7/17-20. MoE 2.7% (6/26 results)
McCain (R) 44 (45)
Obama (D) 46 (47)
Just float within the MoE. The composite remains razor tight: 46.7 Obama, 44.1 McCain.
Other: Monmouth University reiterates that yes, Obama is crushing McCain in New Jersey 50-36 (PDF).